06.02.26
Participants Enter RISE With Little Financial Margin
What baseline data reveal about income, expenses, and financial margin for RISE participants
The RISE Research Project follows 1,479 participants in three rural counties who are receiving $1,500 per month in unconditional cash payments for 16 months. The baseline insights draw on 1,472 completed baseline surveys, 84 in-depth interviews, and early ethnographic fieldwork across the three sites.
KEY INSIGHTS
Rate finances as somewhat or very challenging
75%
Report having zero savings
67%
Could not cover a $400 emergency expense
83%
A defining feature of participants’ financial circumstances at baseline is not simply low income, but how little financial margin most households have. Median monthly household income is $1,400, with a quarter of participants reporting less than $450 a month. For roughly half of participants, the monthly RISE transfer of $1,500 is larger than their current monthly income.
For many, the cost of basic needs alone consumes nearly all available income before any unexpected expense arises. Housing, utilities, and food total roughly $1,500 per month on average—only $50 less than participants’ average monthly income of about $1,550. This does not include transportation, medical costs, childcare, or other common expenses. For parents, core expenses are even higher. In practical terms, most households are operating with little or no financial buffer.
That lack of buffer is visible across multiple measures of financial security. 67% of participants report having no savings, 83% say they could not cover a $400 emergency expense, and nearly seven in ten report running out of money before the end of the month nearly every month. More than three quarters experience at least one indicator of food hardship and a similar share report some form of material hardship, most commonly falling behind on bills.
Debt compounds these pressures. Excluding mortgages and home equity loans, 87% of participants carry some form of debt, with an average debt load of $19,049 and a median of $8,500. Among those with debt, only 13% report actively paying it down, meaning they are paying more than the minimum and their balance is declining. Lower-income participants report lower total debt overall, but the composition of debt differs across income groups. Higher-income participants are more likely to report several forms of formal debt, including credit card debt, vehicle loans, medical debt, and student loans, while lower-income participants are comparatively more likely to report owing money to friends or family and having overdue bills. Lower total debt among lower-income participants, then, likely reflects more limited access to formal credit and fewer opportunities to borrow.
Not surprisingly, finances emerge as the most widespread and severe challenge participants identify in their lives. Three in four rate their financial situation as somewhat or very challenging, far exceeding any other domain.
Finances also stand out in severity: 32% rate them as “very challenging,” and virtually everyone who experiences financial challenges identifies money and finances as one of the top three barriers making life harder and holding them back from building the life they want. When participants who report financial challenges are asked about specific financial barriers, the most common are inability to meet basic needs, lack of savings or emergency funds, and high debt or unpaid bills.
Without a buffer, even small disruptions can become difficult tradeoffs. In interviews, participants described how quickly strain compounds when there is no cushion, often forcing them to sacrifice one basic need to meet another. These were not framed as one-time crises, but as recurring decisions that structured day-to-day life. Financial pressure was not a discrete problem; it shaped how participants talked about nearly every area of life.
Income level differentiates hardship more clearly than employment status. Participants below 100% of the federal poverty level report higher hardship across all material hardship indicators, with especially large gaps in service disruption, housing hardship, and housing displacement. Employment, meanwhile, does not reliably insulate participants from hardship. About half of participants are employed and earn nearly double the income of those not employed ($23,079 vs. $11,798), yet they report a higher overall rate of any past-year material hardship and higher rates on two specific hardship indicators: bill/payment delinquency and utility hardship. In this sample, employment does not necessarily create enough financial margin to prevent common forms of hardship.
The limits of employment are especially visible among the 9% of participants who are only occasionally employed through gigs, side jobs, or odd jobs. These individuals report the highest rate of any material hardship in the past 12 months (83%) of any employment status group, though this difference should be read cautiously: half of this group falls in the 0–50% FPL range, so some of the elevated hardship likely reflects income level rather than employment status alone. Still, the uncertainty and instability associated with irregular work present their own challenges, distinct from those faced by participants who are steadily employed or fully out of the workforce.
Employment also interacts with access to formal support. Full-time employed participants receive substantially less assistance, averaging 2.2 sources of institutional support compared to 3.7 for those not employed, a pattern consistent with income-based eligibility thresholds that withdraw support faster than earnings replace it. In qualitative interviews, unstable hours emerge as the most common employment challenge among those working, and several participants describe losing benefits once they start earning, making it harder to catch up, much less get ahead.
Though individuals vary in the severity of their challenges and the specific barriers they face, financial pressure is a central experience across most participants. When asked to characterize their overall situation, 31% say they are “just surviving” and another 43% say they are “getting by.” Only 1.5% describe themselves as “thriving.”
These conditions are not static. In interviews, participants recount constraints arriving suddenly, such as a diagnosis, a death in the family, or a car accident. Others build gradually through accumulating strain: a car that needs increasingly frequent repairs, caregiving responsibilities that expand, health conditions that make work less and less possible. Without a financial buffer, even a modest disruption can reshape daily life entirely.
Looking Ahead #
Participants do not enter the RISE GMI program from a common baseline. While many share a core experience of financial pressure, they differ in the severity of what they face, the barriers that constrain them, the support they can draw on, and what they prioritize. Some are managing moderate challenges that are primarily financial. Others are navigating overlapping constraints across multiple areas of life that may not respond to money alone. These differences shape what feels urgent, what feels possible, and how participants approach change.
That variation matters for how we interpret what follows. Support does not enter a uniform landscape, and changes over time will not mean the same thing for everyone. Understanding what support makes possible in people’s lives requires understanding the lives it enters. Without that context, patterns of improvement, persistence, or change risk being misread or oversimplified.
This report is intended to make those starting conditions visible and to establish a foundation for the study’s longitudinal work. As future waves of data are collected, the study will track how participants describe changes in their financial situation, barriers, supports, priorities, wellbeing, and future outlook; which challenges ease, persist, or shift; and how those trajectories differ across people and place. The goal is not only to observe whether conditions change, but to understand how people experience and navigate the circumstances that shape what change is possible.